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Calibration · No. 14Detection & Quantitation

Calibration — the floor of the method

Where the signal loses to the noise

Every method has a floor: a level below which you cannot say how much analyte is present, and a lower one below which you cannot even say it is present. Both are set by two things together — how much the blank wanders, and how steeply the method responds.

By Medrado Analytical Innovations · Foundations, No. 14 · for the working analyst

In this piece · 9 min read
  1. Two ingredients: how much the blank wanders, how steeply you respond
  2. Detection is a decision — with two ways to be wrong
  3. The working formulas — and which convention you are in
  4. How σ is actually estimated — and why numbers disagree
  5. Instrument, or method?
  6. Reporting honestly across the floor
  7. Where it sits in the family
  8. The judgement

Run a blank — reagents, no analyte — and the instrument does not read zero. It reads a small, wandering number that changes every time you measure it: electronic noise, a trace of contamination, the baseline moving. Add a little analyte and its signal has to climb out of that wandering blank to be seen; near the bottom of the curve the two are the same size. There is a level below which a real signal cannot be told from a lucky-high blank — you cannot honestly say the analyte is there — and a higher one below which you can say it is there but cannot pin down how much with useful precision. Those are the limit of detection and the limit of quantitation, and getting them right is the difference between an honest trace result and a confident guess.

Two ingredients: how much the blank wanders, how steeply you respond

A limit in concentration is a multiple of the blank's noise divided by the calibration slope — so both matter. The noise is the variability of the blank (or low-level) signal, its standard deviation σblank (not its mean, which you subtract off). The slope S is the response per unit concentration. A quieter blank or a steeper slope both push the floor lower; a restless blank raises it, and a sensitive instrument (large S) partly offsets that. The whole subject is one ratio asked twice — how far above the noise a signal must be before you believe it, and how far before you can measure it.

Detection is a decision — with two ways to be wrong

"Is the analyte present?" is a yes/no call made on a noisy signal, so it can fail two independent ways: call a blank "detected" when nothing is there (a false positive), or miss a real low sample as "not detected" (a false negative). Currie's framework — followed by IUPAC and ISO 11843, though not by every standard — separates these into two different kinds of number, and conflating them is the most common mistake in the whole topic.1

The decision threshold vs the method's capability

The critical value (LC) is a threshold you apply to one result's signal: read above it, declare "detected." It is set so a true blank rarely crosses it — false positives at rate α. For a normal blank of known σ, one-sided, α = 0.05, that is LC ≈ 1.65·σblank in signal (≈ 1.65·σ/S once divided through the slope). This is the line each individual result is judged against.

The detection limit (LD, the "LOD") is a different thing: not a per-result cutoff but the method's capability — the lowest true concentration whose signal will clear LC reliably (false negatives at rate β). A true level sitting right at LC would be missed half the time, so LD is set higher. With α = β = 0.05 and constant known σ, LD ≈ (1.65 + 1.65)·σ = 3.3·σblank. So you decide each result against LC and you quote LD as the method's LOD — and the "3.3" is two error rates added, not a bare 3σ.

The working formulas — and which convention you are in

Divide those signal thresholds by the slope S to get concentrations. Here the conventions genuinely diverge, so name the one you mean:

Currie / ISO 11843 (known σ, normal, constant-variance blank): critical value L_C ≈ 1.65 σ/S detection limit L_D ≈ 3.3 σ/S ICH Q2(R2) (single value, no explicit α,β): LOD = 3.3 σ/S LOQ = 10 σ/S (σ = blank SD, residual SD, or SD of intercept) S/N shorthand (instrument): LOD at S/N ≈ 3, LOQ at S/N ≈ 10

ICH collapses the two-threshold picture into one number, LOD = 3.3σ/S, without stating α and β; EPA's method detection limit is a third construction (below); the S/N "3 and 10" are a separate instrument convention, not the 3.3. They are not interchangeable, and a limit is only comparable to another when both name the same recipe. The LOQ uses 10 because measuring is a higher bar than detecting: a signal ten times the noise gives a relative standard deviation near 10% — provided the scatter at that level is still about the blank's. Where variance grows with concentration, 10σblank is optimistic, and the honest LOQ is set from a directly measured precision at a low spike.

The assumptions inside 1.65 and 3.3

Those factors hold only for a normal, constant-variance blank with known σ, using the normal-curve z-values (1.65, 3.29). Two things break them in practice. If σ is estimated from a few replicates — as it always is — the honest factor uses Student's t (larger, and larger still for small n), not z; ICH's habit of plugging an estimated s into the known-σ factor is a simplification. And residual scatter from a wide-range regression is not the blank's σ, and the SD of an intercept depends on the design of the standards — so a limit built from a curve fitted far above the floor can misstate it. A subtracted paired blank — rather than a well-characterised blank mean — adds a factor of √2 to the effective noise. And for counting detectors the noise itself grows as √signal, so none of the fixed factors apply cleanly. When it matters, work from ISO 11843 (or the Hubaux–Vos treatment), not a rule of thumb.4

How σ is actually estimated — and why numbers disagree

The formulas are simple; the honesty is in the σ, and there are several accepted ways to get it that do not agree. From repeated blanks or low spikes: measure many and take their standard deviation directly (the basis of the regulatory limit below). From the calibration: ICH allows the residual standard deviation or the SD of the intercept. A third, separate route does not estimate σ at all: signal-to-noise, where instrument software reports the limit directly at S/N ≈ 3 or 10 — quick, but meaningful only when the baseline noise is genuinely characterised (RMS versus peak-to-peak changes the number, and smoothing or a hand-picked noise window can quietly game it). Each approach is legitimate; each can give a different limit for the same method — so state which you used. And an s from a handful of replicates is itself uncertain (its own relative uncertainty is about 1/√(2·df)) — which is why a limit is an estimate with scatter, quoted to two significant figures, never as a sharp edge.

Instrument, or method?

A limit measured on a clean standard in solvent — an instrument detection limit — flatters the method, because it never saw the extraction, the dilution, or the sample's matrix. The number that means something is the method detection limit (MDL): low-level spikes carried through the entire procedure in the real matrix, so its noise is the noise you actually fight. The U.S. regulatory MDL (40 CFR Part 136, Appendix B) is a specific recipe — replicate spikes (n ≥ 7), MDL = t(n−1, 0.99) · s, at 99% confidence, and since 2016 also computed from method blanks with the larger of the two taken. Note what that is: a false-positive-controlled, LC-like threshold at α = 0.01, not a Currie LD at α = β = 0.05 — a different construction wearing the word "limit."3 A dirtier matrix raises the noise floor (and often changes the slope too), so the in-matrix limit sits well above a reagent-blank one — report the limit that belongs to the sample.

Reporting honestly across the floor

The thresholds carve the low end into honest zones — but judge each result against the decision threshold, not the method's quoted LOD. A single result whose signal is below the critical value LC is not detected (report "< LC," or the framework's reporting limit). A result above LC is a detection — including one that falls between LC and the method's quoted LOD, which is a real detection sitting below the level the method is guaranteed to catch, not a non-detect. If it is still below the LOQ it is a detected trace — report it with a qualifier (a "J" flag or "< LOQ"), an estimated number, not one to be trusted like a value above the LOQ. At or above the LOQ, report the value plainly. (Regulatory frameworks that set a single reporting limit at the MDL are, in effect, using an LC-type threshold for the decision — consistent with this, once you see the MDL for what it is.) Two quiet sins: quoting a below-LOQ number as if it were quantitative, and — worse — substituting zero, the LOD, or LOD⁄2 for non-detects and letting that fiction average into a result. A non-detect is censored, not zero; where such data must be summarised, it needs statistics built for censoring, not a made-up fill value.

Worked example — the two thresholds from a blank and a slope

Reagent blanks carried through the method give a signal standard deviation of about σ = 2.0 (arbitrary units); the calibration slope is S = 0.65 units per ppb. Taking the Currie known-σ convention for teaching:

QuantityValueMeaning
LC = 1.65·σ/S≈ 5 ppbdecide each result against this
LOD = 3.3·σ/S≈ 10 ppbthe method capability you quote
LOQ = 10·σ/S≈ 31 ppblowest you report a number
The article's worked example: with σ = 2.0 and S = 0.65, σ/S = 3.08 ppb, so L<sub>C</sub> = 1.65·σ/S ≈ 5.1, LOD = 3.3·σ/S ≈ 10.2 and LOQ = 10·σ/S ≈ 30.8 ppb: the three honest zones for reporting a result.notdetecteddetected trace (with a qualifier)reportedas a valueLC ≈ 5.1LOD ≈ 10.2LOQ ≈ 30.802040Concentration (ppb)
The article's worked example: with σ = 2.0 and S = 0.65, σ/S = 3.08 ppb, so LC = 1.65·σ/S ≈ 5.1, LOD = 3.3·σ/S ≈ 10.2 and LOQ = 10·σ/S ≈ 30.8 ppb: the three honest zones for reporting a result.

So a result under ~5 ppb is not detected; ~5–31 ppb is a detected trace, reported with a qualifier; ~31 ppb and up is reported as a value. Caveats the numbers hide: σ here was estimated, so rigorous factors run a little larger than 1.65 and 3.3 — Student's t for the critical value, and a non-central-t / ISO 11843 treatment for the detection limit, not simply a doubled t. An EPA method detection limit is a different construction again: at least seven spiked replicates, MDL = t(6,0.99)·s ≈ 3.14·s at 99%, an LC-type threshold, not the 3.3σ LD. And a matrix that doubles σ doubles the limits only if it leaves the slope alone — which it often does not.

Where it sits in the family

This is the bottom of the very curves the last pieces built. It is where the low-end recovery that an R² hides finally becomes unmeasurable; where a matrix effect bites hardest because the matrix is the noise; where the replicate scatter that an internal standard tightens sets the floor directly. External standard, standard addition, internal standard — every one of them runs out here, at the level where the signal is no longer reliably above the blank. Each calibration has an honest bottom, and naming it — with the right threshold, from the right σ, on the real method — is part of owning the measurement.

The judgement

A detection limit is not a property of the instrument you can look up; it is a claim about your blank, your slope, your matrix, and the error rates you chose — only as good as the σ behind it and the honesty of how it was found. Say which convention and which σ you used, keep the per-result decision separate from the method's quoted capability, tie the number to the real method, quote it modestly, and let it govern what you report. The instrument will always show a number below the floor; the skill is knowing when it means "present," when it means "measured," and when it means nothing at all.

Where this sits. The fifth calibration piece, and the floor under the other four — external standard, standard addition, internal standard, and the wide-range curve of the opener all end here, where signal meets noise. It closes the calibration thread: from why you calibrate, through the techniques, to the limit past which no calibration can help.

A foundations piece — the reasoning behind detection and quantitation limits, not a validation protocol. For the exact procedure, error rates, and how to determine and verify a limit, work from ICH Q2(R2), the IUPAC/Currie recommendations and ISO 11843, the applicable EPA/ASTM method, and your laboratory's quality system.

Check yourself

Answer in your head first, then open the answer. Any question can go into your Quiz me.

  1. What two ingredients set a detection limit in concentration?

    Show the answer
    “A limit in concentration is a multiple of the blank's noise divided by the calibration slope”

    See it in the article ·

  2. Why does an instrument detection limit flatter the method?

    Show the answer
    “because it never saw the extraction, the dilution, or the sample's matrix.”

    See it in the article ·

  3. A result's signal is below the critical value. How do you report it?

    Show the answer
    “A single result whose signal is below the critical value LC is not detected”

    See it in the article ·

Glossary

σblank (blank standard deviation)
How much the blank or low-level signal wanders run to run — its mean is subtracted off, its scatter divided by the slope sets the floor. Estimated from replicates, it is itself uncertain.
Critical value (LC)
The threshold each result is judged against; above it, declare "detected." Controls false positives (α). As a signal it is ≈ 1.65·σ for a normal blank of known σ (α = 0.05); in concentration, ≈ 1.65·σ/S — the form used when reporting "< LC."
Limit of detection (LOD / LD)
The method's capability — the lowest true concentration whose signal reliably clears LC, controlling false negatives too. ≈ 3.3·σ/S (3.3 = 1.65 + 1.65). Quoted, not used as a per-result cutoff.
Limit of quantitation (LOQ)
The lowest concentration measurable with acceptable precision; conventionally ≈ 10·σ/S (≈ 10% RSD only if the scatter there equals the blank's).
False positive / false negative
Calling a blank "detected" (controlled by LC) versus missing a real low sample (controlled by placing LD above LC).
Signal-to-noise (S/N)
An instrument estimate — LOD at S/N ≈ 3, LOQ at S/N ≈ 10 — valid only with a genuinely characterised baseline; gameable by smoothing or a chosen noise window.
Instrument vs method detection limit
IDL: on a clean standard, instrument noise only. MDL: through the whole method in the real matrix — the EPA recipe is t(n−1,0.99)·s (n ≥ 7), an LC-like 99% construction, not a Currie LD.
Censored (non-detect)
A result below the decision threshold is "less-than," not zero; summarising such data needs methods for censoring, not a substituted fill value.

Sources

  1. Currie, L. A. (1968) "Limits for qualitative detection and quantitative determination," Analytical Chemistry 40(3), 586–593 — the critical value / detection limit framework and its two error rates; and Currie (1995) Pure & Appl. Chem. 67(10), 1699–1723 (IUPAC nomenclature).
  2. ICH Q2(R2) (2023), Validation of Analytical Procedures — the single-value definitions LOD = 3.3σ/S, LOQ = 10σ/S, and the accepted ways to estimate σ (blank SD, residual SD, SD of the intercept, S/N). International Council for Harmonisation.
  3. U.S. EPA, 40 CFR Part 136, Appendix B (as revised 2016) — the Method Detection Limit: replicate low-level spikes through the whole method, MDL = t(n−1,0.99)·s (n ≥ 7), with a blank-based MDL and the larger of the two taken. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency.
  4. ISO 11843 (Capability of detection) and the Hubaux–Vos regression treatment (Hubaux & Vos, Anal. Chem. 1970) — detection from a calibration line with the estimation uncertainty in σ and slope carried through; EURACHEM/CITAC, Fitness for Purpose of Analytical Methods, for practical determination. See also ASTM practices — D6091 (interlaboratory detection estimation) and E2857 (verification).
  5. Miller, J. N.; Miller, J. C., Statistics and Chemometrics for Analytical Chemistry (Pearson); Harris, D. C., Quantitative Chemical Analysis (W. H. Freeman) — blank statistics and the signal/noise picture from first principles.